Skip to main content
The Actuary: The magazine of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries - return to the homepage Logo of The Actuary website
  • Search
  • Visit The Actuary Magazine on Facebook
  • Visit The Actuary Magazine on LinkedIn
  • Visit @TheActuaryMag on Twitter
Visit the website of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries Logo of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries

Main navigation

  • News
  • Features
    • General Features
    • Interviews
    • Students
    • Opinion
  • Topics
  • Knowledge
    • Business Skills
    • Careers
    • Events
    • Predictions by The Actuary
    • Whitepapers
    • Moody's - Climate Risk Insurers series
    • Webinars
    • Podcasts
  • Jobs
  • IFoA
    • CEO Comment
    • IFoA News
    • People & Social News
    • President Comment
  • Archive
Quick links:
  • Home
  • The Actuary Issues
  • May 2017
05

Largest year-on-year UK inflation rise in a decade

Open-access content Tuesday 16th May 2017 — updated 5.50pm, Wednesday 29th April 2020

The consumer price inflation rate in the UK is now at 2.7%, up from 2.3% in March, and 0.3% a year ago, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics released today.

The consumer price inflation rate in the UK is now at 2.7%, up from 2.3% in March, and 0.3% a year ago, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released today.
Web_inflation_shutterstock .jpg

This is the largest year-on-year rise since 2007, and the highest rate seen since June 2013, with higher air fares around Easter time the main contributor to the increase.

The Bank of England (BoE) said last week that inflation would peak at a little below 3% in the fourth quarter of 2017, however today's figures are two months ahead of its 2.7% forecast for the end of the second quarter, and above its 2% target.

"Inflation has risen to its highest level since the autumn of 2013, and this is adding to the squeeze on consumer spending shown in the latest retail sales figures," PwC senior economic adviser, Andrew Sentance, said.

"We should expect this rise in inflation to continue as the impact of the weakness if the pound feeds through into higher prices for imported goods and services.

"It is set to rise to around 3% or higher in the months ahead - with prices likely to be rising faster than wages. The resulting squeeze on consumer spending will reinforce the slowdown in economic growth we are now seeing."

Rising prices for clothing, vehicle excise and electricity also contributed to the increase, although these were partially offset by a fall in motor fuel prices between March and April, compared with same time last year.

UK consumer price inflation since April 2007 is shown below:

Source: ONS

Rising inflation has led to some calls for interest rates to rise, however, the Bank of England decided last week to keep them at a record low of 0.25%, while quantitative easing programmes were capped at £435bn.

This is likely to remain the case unless there are any sudden inflation rises, according to the Share Centre economic commentator, Michael Baxter, who believes that it is actually subdued in the west.

"A few months ago, many economists were forecasting that inflation would be much closer to 3% by now," he said. "The pattern of the last few weeks, not just in the UK, but the US and euro area, is that inflation is surprising on the downside.

"Although one member of the BoE's monetary policy (MPC) voted for a hike in interest rates, the minutes made it clear that other members will only vote for a rise if inflation starts surprising on the upside. So far, this has not happened.

"There is nothing in today's data to suggest that the MPC will deviate from its current course. The odds of an increase in UK interest rates later this year are diminishing."


Sign up to our free newsletter here and receive a weekly roundup of news concerning the actuarial profession
This article appeared in our May 2017 issue of The Actuary .
Click here to view this issue

You may also be interested in...

UK employment at highest rate for 46 years

The employment rate in the UK increased to 74.8% in the first quarter of this year, the highest since comparable records began in 1971, according to statistics from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released today.
Wednesday 17th May 2017
Open-access content

UK continues to subsidise coal industry despite phase-out commitments

The UK subsidises coal to the tune of £356m each year, despite government proclamations to the contrary, according to a report by the Overseas Development Institute (ODI).
Friday 12th May 2017
Open-access content

Venture capital firms at risk of being 'too macho'

Some 48% of venture capital firms in the UK have no women on their investment teams, while 66% do not have any that are final decision makers, according to a report by Diversity VC.
Tuesday 23rd May 2017
Open-access content

Social care needs to increase by quarter within a decade

The number of people aged over 65 needing social care could reach 2.8 million by 2025 in England and Wales, according to scientific research published in The Lancet yesterday
Wednesday 24th May 2017
Open-access content

Climate action could boost GDP by 5%

Integrating measures to tackle climate change into regular economic policy could provide a net increase of nearly 5% to the GDP of G20 countries by 2050, according to an OECD report released yesterday.
Wednesday 24th May 2017
Open-access content

Almost 10 million people employed by renewable energy sector

There were more than 9.8 million people employed in the renewable energy sector globally in 2016, signifying a 1.1% increase since 2015, according to a report by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA).
Tuesday 30th May 2017
Open-access content

Latest from May 2017

2

Calls for social care fees to be capped at £60,000

Nine in ten people aged over 50 in the UK believe there should be a social care fee cap after PM Theresa May proposed to continue to charge anyone with more than £100,000.
Tuesday 6th June 2017
Open-access content
2

Service sector growth stalls but UK economy 'gains momentum'

The UK service sector experienced a slowdown in growth last month after hitting a four-month peak in April, according to the IHS Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI survey.
Tuesday 6th June 2017
Open-access content
2

Employees leaving UK businesses at risk of cyber attacks

Almost half of UK employees had just 30 minutes or less of cyber security training last year, and the same amount believe opening any email on their work computer is safe.
Tuesday 6th June 2017
Open-access content

Latest from no_opening_image

TPR publishes coronavirus guidance

The Pensions Regulator (TPR) has published guidance to help UK pension trustees, employers and administrators deal with the financial and regulatory risks posed by coronavirus.
Monday 23rd March 2020
Open-access content
web_p24_cat-and-fish_iStock-483454069.png

Sensitivity analysis: swimming lessons

Silvana Pesenti, Alberto Bettini, Pietro Millossovich and Andreas Tsanakas present their alternative approach to sensitivity analysis
Wednesday 4th March 2020
Open-access content
ta

IFoA adjudication panel: Mr Jack Wicks, student

On 30 October 2019 the Adjudication Panel considered an allegation of misconduct against Mr Jack Wicks (the respondent).
Friday 28th February 2020
Open-access content

Latest from inline_image_missing_alt_text

TPR publishes coronavirus guidance

The Pensions Regulator (TPR) has published guidance to help UK pension trustees, employers and administrators deal with the financial and regulatory risks posed by coronavirus.
Monday 23rd March 2020
Open-access content
2

Bitcoin: In the vaults

Blockchain technology and the trading of bitcoin were introduced in October 2008 in the famous paper by Satoshi Nakamoto.
Wednesday 4th March 2020
Open-access content
web_p24_cat-and-fish_iStock-483454069.png

Sensitivity analysis: swimming lessons

Silvana Pesenti, Alberto Bettini, Pietro Millossovich and Andreas Tsanakas present their alternative approach to sensitivity analysis
Wednesday 4th March 2020
Open-access content

Latest from missing_standfirst

news in brief

March news in brief

Paper: A Cashless Society in 2019 Cash is under pressure. A tense 2018 led to a tumultuous 2019: Facebook's announcement of plans to launch its Libra cryptocurrency with a consortium of companies united all regulators against the project.
Friday 28th February 2020
Open-access content
2

Forging new paths

The Terminator is coming!  At least that's one potential vision of the future, invoked by Boris Johnson at the UN last year while he speculated about artificial intelligence (AI). We can certainly debate how realistic that vision is, and what the possible timescales might be.
Friday 28th February 2020
Open-access content
2

Expert advice

This edition of the magazine focuses on data science and its applications, which will be a recurring theme for the IFoA.
Friday 28th February 2020
Open-access content

Latest from inline_local_link

2

COVID-19 forum for actuaries launched

A forum for actuaries has been launched to help the profession come together and learn how best to respond to the deadly coronavirus sweeping the world.
Wednesday 25th March 2020
Open-access content
2

Travel insurers expect record payouts this year

UK travel insurers expect to pay a record £275m to customers this year as coronavirus grounds flights across the world, the Association of British Insurers (ABI) has revealed.
Wednesday 25th March 2020
Open-access content
2

Grim economic forecasts made as countries lockdown

A sharp recession is imminent in the vast majority of developed and emerging economies as the deadly coronavirus forces businesses to shut down across the world.
Tuesday 24th March 2020
Open-access content

Latest from 05

2

Calls for social care fees to be capped at £60,000

Nine in ten people aged over 50 in the UK believe there should be a social care fee cap after PM Theresa May proposed to continue to charge anyone with more than £100,000.
Tuesday 6th June 2017
Open-access content
2

Service sector growth stalls but UK economy 'gains momentum'

The UK service sector experienced a slowdown in growth last month after hitting a four-month peak in April, according to the IHS Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI survey.
Tuesday 6th June 2017
Open-access content
2

Employees leaving UK businesses at risk of cyber attacks

Almost half of UK employees had just 30 minutes or less of cyber security training last year, and the same amount believe opening any email on their work computer is safe.
Tuesday 6th June 2017
Open-access content
Share
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Linked in
  • Mail
  • Print

Latest Jobs

Senior Manager - Building new team!

London (Central)
Up to £130k + Bonus
Reference
148845

Shape the Future of Credit Risk Model Development

Flexible / hybrid with 2 days p/w office-based
£ six figure salary with excellent bonus potential + package
Reference
148843

Longevity Director

Flexible / hybrid with 2 days p/w office-based
£ six figure salary with excellent bonus potential + package
Reference
148842
See all jobs »
 
 
 
 

Sign up to our newsletter

News, jobs and updates

Sign up

Subscribe to The Actuary

Receive the print edition straight to your door

Subscribe
Spread-iPad-slantB-june.png

Topics

  • Data Science
  • Investment
  • Risk & ERM
  • Pensions
  • Environment
  • Soft skills
  • General Insurance
  • Regulation Standards
  • Health care
  • Technology
  • Reinsurance
  • Global
  • Life insurance
​
FOLLOW US
The Actuary on LinkedIn
@TheActuaryMag on Twitter
Facebook: The Actuary Magazine
CONTACT US
The Actuary
Tel: (+44) 020 7880 6200
​

IFoA

About IFoA
Become an actuary
IFoA Events
About membership

Information

Privacy Policy
Terms & Conditions
Cookie Policy
Think Green

Get in touch

Contact us
Advertise with us
Subscribe to The Actuary Magazine
Contribute

The Actuary Jobs

Actuarial job search
Pensions jobs
General insurance jobs
Solvency II jobs

© 2023 The Actuary. The Actuary is published on behalf of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries by Redactive Publishing Limited. All rights reserved. Reproduction of any part is not allowed without written permission.

Redactive Media Group Ltd, 71-75 Shelton Street, London WC2H 9JQ