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The Actuary The magazine of the Institute & Faculty of Actuaries
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Who will win the World Cup?

Greg Becker and Arminder Kainth’s article can only be viewed in PDF format - View this article as a PDF

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Star Actuarial World Cup
To test our readers’ own sports prediction skills, The Actuary has launched a World Cup PredictorPro game in association with Star Actuarial. For your chance to win an iPad, Selfridges vouchers and special spot prizes, register at http://theactuary.predictorpro.com/ before 11 June 2010.

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Stop Press:
It is interesting to note that there are great similarities between this model and those produced (and recently published) by the big investment banks. See these lengthy publications for alternative forecasts: The World Cup and Economics 2010 from Goldman Sachs and England to win the World Cup – A Quantitative Guide to the 2010 World Cup from J.P. Morgan.